Hurricane Forecast 9/11

By Mariana Garcia-Serrato

Last updated about 4 years ago

4 Questions

Below, you see a graph. In case you need to open it to better view it, here is the link. https://static01.nyt.com/images/2019/09/04/learning/Hurricane-Forecast-Graph/Hurricane-Forecast-Graph-superJumbo.png?quality=90&auto=webp

The National Hurricane Center prepares graphics like this one so the public can plan ahead for tropical storms and hurricanes. However, many people who see these maps read them incorrectly.
While this is not a map for Hurricane Dorian, similar maps for all tropical storms, including Dorian, are prepared by the National Hurricane Center (N.H.C.) in Miami, Florida.

Look at the labels for the circles. What does the size of the circles represent?

how unsure the forecaster is of the path of the hurricane

amount of damage from the hurricaine

strength of the hurricaine

how widespread the damage could be

Notice the dotted lines. What do you think they represent?

Now that you know how to read a hurricane forecast map, consider these  three forecast maps of Hurricane Dorian created over one week.

Use them to write a rebuttal to the following claim made on September 1: "In addition to Florida - South Carolina, North Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama, will most likely be hit (much) harder than anticipated."

To write your rebuttal, you must use the CER framework (if you do not know what this means exactly open https://mariana68.wixsite.com/adventurescience/cer-frames)

Write a  >140 character Tweet that could accompany the sharing of the of the map/image. 
This means, you would write a  short sentence or two that describes one surprising thing you noticed from the map and you accompany it with one or two relevant hashtags.