Covid-19 Probability Assignment

Covid 19

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How bad do you believe Covid 19 is? Do you believe that the current "Stay-at-home" orders around the world are a good idea or a bad idea?

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-Show your calculation for the current global Covid-19 mortality rate. (Answers will vary)
-You will need to provide the link to the website you used in question 3.
-Don't just give me the mortality rate that someone else found. I want your calculation.

Here is the calculation for the Canada Covid-19 mortaltiy rate as an example.

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Copy and paste the website used to find your current global Covid-19 mortality rate in the space below

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Calculate a second global covid-19 mortality rate using diffent numbers from a different website.

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Copy and paste the website used to find your 2nd global Covid-19 mortality rate in the space below

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What is the current Covid-19 mortality rate for alberta?

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Copy and paste the website used to find your Alberta Covid-19 mortality rate

Since mortality rate is the percent of people that will die after contracting the virus, one might expect that the mortality rate for Alberta would be the same as for the world (becuase it is just a percentage). However, the numbers can vary widely. Let's examine this more closely. 

Below is the same Covid-19 mortality rate calculation from above for all of Canada. I have read that the projected rate is anywhere between 0.5% and 1.5%. My calculation of 5.5% seems very high! 
To get a feeling for how high my number is, the mortality rate for the flue is around 0.1% every year. If I divide 5.5 by 0.1 I get 55. I means the coronavirus is 55 times more deadly than the flue. That would be bad!

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The Denominator

In my calculation above, the denomintator (bottom number) is the number of people that have gotten the virus. If the denomintator increases, will my rate get bigger or smaller? Explain.

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The Denominator

Give three reasons why the denominator in my question is probably incorrect. For full marks, provide references for your reasons.

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The Numerator

In my calculation above, the numertator (top number) is the number of people that have died from the virus. If the numerator increases, will my rate increase or decrease? Explain.

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Give three reasons why the numerator in my question is probably incorrect. For full marks, provide references for your reasons.

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Most countries have been trying to increase their testing rates (how many people have been tested). Explain how more Covid-19 testing could change the denominator, numertator and calculated rate.

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Using the diagram below, what is meant by the phrase "Flattening the curve"?

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Covid 19

How bad do you believe Covid 19 is? Do you believe that the current "Stay-at-home" orders around the world are a good idea or a bad idea?

Copy and paste the website used to find your current global Covid-19 mortality rate in the space below

Calculate a second global covid-19 mortality rate using diffent numbers from a different website.

Copy and paste the website used to find your 2nd global Covid-19 mortality rate in the space below

What is the current Covid-19 mortality rate for alberta?

Copy and paste the website used to find your Alberta Covid-19 mortality rate

The DenominatorIn my calculation above, the denomintator (bottom number) is the number of people that have gotten the virus. If the denomintator increases, will my rate get bigger or smaller? Explain.

The DenominatorGive three reasons why the denominator in my question is probably incorrect. For full marks, provide references for your reasons.

The NumeratorIn my calculation above, the numertator (top number) is the number of people that have died from the virus. If the numerator increases, will my rate increase or decrease? Explain.

Give three reasons why the numerator in my question is probably incorrect. For full marks, provide references for your reasons.

Most countries have been trying to increase their testing rates (how many people have been tested). Explain how more Covid-19 testing could change the denominator, numertator and calculated rate.

Using the diagram below, what is meant by the phrase "Flattening the curve"?

If we do not "flatten-the-curve" below the health care system capacity, how will that effect the mortality rate?

The Denominator

In my calculation above, the denomintator (bottom number) is the number of people that have gotten the virus. If the denomintator increases, will my rate get bigger or smaller? Explain.

The Denominator

Give three reasons why the denominator in my question is probably incorrect. For full marks, provide references for your reasons.

The Numerator

In my calculation above, the numertator (top number) is the number of people that have died from the virus. If the numerator increases, will my rate increase or decrease? Explain.