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Day 9 Ch. 6 & 7 Test 1.5

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Question 1
1.

(this is #10 on original test)

The line of best fit is also called the least-squares regression line or LSRL.

Think back to the demonstration I did with the online Statistics Applets with the line of best fit, what were we trying to do with the line of best fit?

Which statement below is true?

Question 2
2.

Question 3
3.

Question 4
4.

Use the data in the table below:


Enter your data into L1 and L2, (Stat, Edit)
Create a scatter plot and check the form. (2nd, y=, turn the statplot 'on', select scatter plot and make sure L1 & L2 are correct)

Is a linear regression appropriate for creating a model?
(Hint: remember to check the three conditions)
Why?

Question 5
5.

Question 6
6.

Use your equation from #5 to predict the number of cars sold after 9 days.

Enter your prediction below,
round to the nearest whole car since cars aren't sold at dealerships in factions.

Question 7
7.

If the dealership in #6 actually had a rough day due to cold rainy weather and the residual was -4,
what was the actual number of cars sold?
Use the residual equation.

Question 8
8.

Use your answer to #6 & 7 and the equation for calculating residuals.

Did the linear model overpredict or underpredict the number of cars that would be sold?

Question 9
9.

Question 10
10.

In general, if the residual is negative what does this mean?

Question 11
11.

A Line of Best Fit for a linear regression has been calculated and the linear model equation’s residual plot is shown.


Which is true?

Question 12
12.

Question 13
13.

Data was gathered to compare the speed of a motorcycle to braking distance. The data is shown in the table below.

Now that your data is in L1 and L2 (Stat, Edit).
Do a linear regression, save the regression equation:
Stat, Calc, #8LinReg, 'StoreRegEQ': VARS, Y-VARS, enter, enter, enter, enter

To be more accurate you will check the residual plot.
2nd, y=, in Statplot 1, change the Ylist to 'RESID' use '2nd, Stat'
Observe the residual plot.

What do you see?
What does this mean? (is the linear model appropriate to use or inappropriate?)
Answer both questions for full credit.

Use the following information for numbers 24 - 32.
Carbon Monoxide (CO) is a poisonous, colorless, odorless gas produced as a result of incomplete burning of carbon-containing fuels. Cigarette smoke can contain high levels of CO. Below are tar and CO data for 10 brands of popular cigarettes.
We will answer the question: how can the tar content of these cigarettes be used to predict the amount of carbon monoxide produced?
Question 14
14.

Calculate the correlation coefficient (r).
(Make sure StatDiagnostics are 'ON' use 'mode')
Stat, Calc, #8LinReg

Enter the correlation coefficient below.
Round your answer to three places past the decimal.
Don't clear your screen, you will use 'a' and 'b'.

Question 15
15.

Using the correlation coefficient from above,
what does this tell you about the relationship between Tar and Carbon Monoxide (CO)?

Question 16
16.

Now observe the scatterplot that shows the relationship between Tar and Carbon Monoxide (CO).
2nd, y=, statplot 1, check your Xlist:L1 and Ylist:L2

Does it meet the conditions for doing a linear regression and creating a linear regression equation?

Yes or no.
Explain for full credit.

Question 17
17.

Now that the data is in L1 and L2, redo the linear regression.

This time have your calculator SAVE THE RESIDUALS:
Stat, Calc, #8LinReg, 'Store RegEq' 'VARS', 'Y-VARS', enter, enter, enter, enter.

Check the residual plot to see if it is appropriate to use the linear model to make predictions.
Statplot (2nd, y=), choose the scatterplot,
change the YList to RESID (2nd, Stat).

Check the graph: Zoomstat (zoom #9)

What do you see?
What does this mean?

Answer both questions.

Question 18
18.

No matter what you answered in #27, create the linear model equation.
Round a and b to two places past the decimal.

Match the parts of the linear model to their role or meaning in the equation.

You may need to do another linear regression if you don't remember the values for 'a' and 'b'.
Note: not all values are used.

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Question 19
19.

Use the values for 'a' and 'b' from the linear regression.
Create the linear model equation for predicting mg CO.
Be sure to use meaningful words (no x or y) and the correct notation.

Question 20
20.

If a new cigarette was produced by Marlboro that had 32.4 mg Tar,
use the linear model equation to predict the CO that would be produced.

Round your answer to two places past the decimal.
Use units.

Question 21
21.

Question 22
22.

BONUS #1:
Use mg CO to predict the mg Tar.
You cannot use your current linear model equation.
What is the new equation that predicts tar?
Enter it below using Tar-hat

Question 23
23.

BONUS #2:
Use mg CO to predict the mg Tar.
Use your new linear model equation for predicting mg Tar.
If the cigarette has 7.8 mg CO, predict the mg Tar that it will contain.
Round your answer to two places past the decimal point.

The line is located on a scatterplot so that it maximizes the squared distances from the points to the line.
The line is located on a scatterplot so that it minimizes the squared distances from the points to the line.
An independent record label sells mp3's of its songs online.
They have been experimenting with different prices for downloading each song.
Based on their data, the linear equation that models the average sales (in # of songs) for each price (in cents):

Sales-hat = 510,198 - 410(price)

Which sentence accurately describes the slope of this linear model (equation)?
If you need to, rewrite the equation using units instead of the name of the variables, this might help.
An increase in prices of 1 cent predicts approximately 410 sales.
Sales decrease by approximately 410 for each 1 cent increase in price.
If the songs were free 410 people would download them.
If the songs were free, then 510,198 downloads would occur.
Approximately 510,200 customers will pay any price for a download.
An independent record label sells mp3's of its songs online.
They have been experimenting with different prices for downloading each song.
Based on their data, the linear equation that models the average sales (in # of songs) for each price (in cents):

Sales-hat = 510,198 - 410(price)

Which sentence accurately describes the intercept of this linear model (equation)?
Sales decrease by approximately 410 for each 1 cent increase in price.
If the songs were free 410 people would download them.
Sales are predicted to go as low as $510,198.
An increase in prices of 1 cent predicts approximately 410 sales.
Approximately 510,200 customers will pay any price for a download.
Yes, the scatterplot shows a nearly linear relationship, no large outliers and the data is quantitative.
No, the scatterplot shows a nearly linear relationship, no large outliers and the data is quantitative.
Yes, the scatterplot does not show a linear relationship, there appear to be large outliers.
No, the scatterplot does not show a linear relationship, there appear to be large outliers.
Use the data in the table below:


No matter what you answered for the previous question, I would like you to create the linear model.
Use Stat, Calc, #8LinReg

Select the correct equation from the list below:

Which is the correct linear model for the data table?
E
Use the following linear regression equation:
height-hat = 3 + 1.16(weeks)

This linear model can be used to predict the height of a plant (in centimeters) after an amount of time (in weeks).
1. Predict the plants height after 5 weeks.
2. The height of a plant was actually 9.2 centimeters after 5 weeks.
3. Calculate and interpret the residual for this plant after 5 weeks.
The residual of 0.4 indicates that the linear model over predicted the plant's height.
The residual of -0.4 indicates that the linear model under predicted the plant's height.
The residual of -6.96 indicates that the linear model over predicted the plant's height.
The residual of 6.96 indicates that the linear model under predicted the plant's height.
The residual of -0.4 indicates that the linear model over predicted the plant's height.
The residual of 0.4 indicates that the linear model under predicted the plant's height.
A curved model would be better because there is random scatter.
The linear model is poor because the form is not linear.
The linear model is poor because some residuals are larger than others.
The linear model is appropriate because there is random scatter.
Data was gathered to compare the speed of a motorcycle to braking distance. The data is shown in the table below.

Enter the Speed data into L1 and Distance data into L2 (Stat, Edit).
Create a scatterplot (2nd, y=, turn it on, check the Xlist & Ylist)
Observe the scatterplot (zoom 9).

Does this data meet the conditions for doing a linear regression?
Explain why or why not.
No, there are large outliers but the shape is nearly linear.
Yes, the shape has a strong linear form & there are no outliers.
mg Tar
The intercept, _____ mg CO.
0.978
The slope, units are _______ mg CO per 1 mg Tar.
3.83
Explanatory variable
mg CO
Response variable
0.71

Think about #20:
1. What is this type of prediction called?
Hint: we discussed it in class last time.
2. Is this ok to do with our linear model?
No, it is risky to make predictions beyond our data values.
Lurking Variable
Extrapolation
Quantitative Data Condition
Interpolation
Yes, we can use our linear model to make predictions.