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Laabri

Unit 9 Day 8 Ch. 15 Bernoulli Trials & Binomial Probability Practice

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Remember: for a situation to be considered a Bernoulli Trial it needs to qualify:

1. There are only two possible outcomes for each trial (Success or Failure)

2. The probability of success, 'p' , is the same for each trial. This is known in advance.

3. Trials are independent.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
1.

Is the following situation a Bernoulli Trial? Think through the three criteria above.

If not, why not?

We roll 50 dice to find the distribution of the number that is rolled.

Trial = the number rolled by a dice

Success= not given

Choose the three answers that apply to this situation.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
2.

Is the following situation a Bernoulli Trial? Think through the three criteria above.

If not, why not?

How likely is it that in a group of 120 people, the majority may have Type A blood, given that 43% of the population have type A.

Trial = a person's blood type

Success= having type A blood

Failure= not having type A blood

Choose the three answers that apply to this situation.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
3.

Is the following situation a Bernoulli Trial? Think through the three criteria above.

If not, why not?

We deal 7 cards from a well shuffled deck of cards and get all hearts. How likely is that?

Trial = how many hearts out of 7 cards dealt

Success= card that is a heart

Failure= card that is not a heart

Choose the three answers that apply to this situation.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
4.

Is the following situation a Bernoulli Trial? Think through the three criteria above.

If not, why not?

You are rolling 5 dice and need to get at least two 6's to win the game.

Trial = rolling 5 dice

Success= roll a 6

Failure= do not roll a 6

2- 2 possible outcomes, P-set probability, I-independent events, N-number of trials

Choose the three answers that apply to this situation.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
5.

Is the following situation a Bernoulli Trial? Think through the three criteria above.

If not, why not?

We record the distribution of eye colors in a group of people (brown, blue, green, hazel, other).

Trial = eye color of each person

Success= not clear because there is more than one eye color

Failure= not clear

Choose the three answers that apply to this situation.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
6.

An Olympic archer is able to hit the bull’s-eye 80% of the tme.

Assume each shot is independent of the others.

If she shoots 6 arrows, what is the value of 'n'?

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
7.

An Olympic archer is able to hit the bull’s-eye 80% of the tme.

Assume each shot is independent of the others.

If she shoots 6 arrows, what is the value of 'p'? (probability of success, hitting the bull's-eye)

Enter your answer as a decimal.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
8.

An Olympic archer is able to hit the bull’s-eye 80% of the tme.

Assume each shot is independent of the others.

If she shoots 6 arrows, what is the value of 'q'? (probability of failure, not hitting the bull's-eye)

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
9.

An Olympic archer is able to hit the bull’s-eye 80% of the tme.

Assume each shot is independent of the others.

Use the formula:

If she shoots 6 arrows, what is the probability that she gets exactly 4 Bull’s-eyes?

Enter your answer as a decimal rounded to three places past the decimal point.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
10.

An Olympic archer is able to hit the bull’s-eye 80% of the tme.

Assume each shot is independent of the others.

Use the formula:

If she shoots 6 arrows, what is the probability that she gets exactly 5 Bull’s-eyes?

Enter your answer as a decimal rounded to three places past the decimal point.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
11.

An Olympic archer is able to hit the bull’s-eye 80% of the tme.

Assume each shot is independent of the others.

Use the formula:

If she shoots 6 arrows, what is the probability that she gets all 6 Bull’s-eyes? (this is the same as 'exactly 6')

Enter your answer as a decimal rounded to three places past the decimal point.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
12.

Using the information from the previous three questions, what is the probability that the Olympic Archer is able to hit the bull's-eye at least four times out of 6 shots?

Hint: P(at least 4 bull’s-eyes)= P(4 bull's-eyes) or P(5 bull's-eyes) or P(6 bull's-eyes)

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
13.

A basketball player who has made 70% of his foul shots during the season gets to take 5 shots in the first playoff game.

Assuming the shots are independent, what's the value of 'n'?

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
14.

A basketball player who has made 70% of his foul shots during the season gets to take 5 shots in the first playoff game.

Assuming the shots are independent, what's the value of 'p'? (probability of success, making the basket)

Enter your answer as a decimal.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
15.

A basketball player who has made 70% of his foul shots during the season gets to take 5 shots in the first playoff game.

Assuming the shots are independent, what's the value of 'q'? (probability of failure, not making the basket)

Enter your answer as a decimal.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
16.

A basketball player who has made 70% of his foul shots during the season gets to take 5 shots in the first playoff game.

Now that you have identified n, p, q, use the formula:

Assuming the shots are independent, what's the probability he makes exactly 3 of the 5 shots?

Enter your answer as a decimal rounded to three places.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
17.

A basketball player who has made 70% of his foul shots during the season gets to take 5 shots in the first playoff game.

Now that you have identified n, p, q, use the formula:

Assuming the shots are independent, what's the probability he makes exactly 4 of the 5 shots?

Enter your answer as a decimal rounded to three places.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
18.

A basketball player who has made 70% of his foul shots during the season gets to take 5 shots in the first playoff game.

Now that you have identified n, p, q, use the formula:

Assuming the shots are independent, what's the probability he makes all 5 of the 5 shots?

Enter your answer as a decimal rounded to three places.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
19.

A basketball player who has made 70% of his foul shots during the season gets to take 5 shots in the first playoff game.

Use the answers to the previous three questions: what's the probability he makes at least three of the 5 shots?

Enter your answer as a decimal rounded to three places.