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Laabri

Lesson 086: Introduction to Probability

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Last updated about 3 years ago
17 Nsɛmmisa
Hyɛ no nsow a efi ɔkyerɛwfo no hɔ:

Introduction to Probability.

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Aim: How do we use math to explain the likelihood of an event occurring?

Learning Objective: I CAN explain probability in terms of certainty and uncertainty.

Essential Questions:

  • When is it important to collect and organize data?

  • How can collecting and organizing data help you to make decisions and predictions?

  • How do certain careers utilize the summary of data sets?

event, Ccance, certain, impossible, unlikely, likely

Criteria for Success

  1. Express probability of an event as a fraction (desired event/all possible event)

  2. Convert fractions as a percentage

  3. Contextualize event in context of probability

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1.

Miriam closed her eyes and took one marble out of the sack. Is it certain, likely, unlikely, or impossible that the marble she picked was white?

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2.

Self Assessment: How confident are you on the mid-lesson checkpoint? Circle your answer.

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3.

Ben has four cards. He asks Jill to close her eyes and take one card. Which sentence best tells what will happen?

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6.

Kerry used the spinner. Order the colors using probability, from least likely to most likely.

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7.

If Jack spins the spinner once, on which is it most likely to land?

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9.

You roll a six-sided cube number cube and the number is a multiple of 3. P(multiple of 3) =

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10.

A bowl has golf balls numbered 1-10. You randomly choose a ball and the number is between 2 and 4.

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11.

Think of a scenario with an impossible event.

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15.

How likely is it that the next song will be pop? Explain your reasoning.

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16.

What do you think the next song will most likely be? Why? Use math to justify your reasoning.

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17.

How did you feel about this lesson? If you chose 😶, please write what you're confused about in the "Show Your Work" area.

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4.

David put these cards into a box. If he draws one card out of the box without looking, the number on the card will most likely be

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5.

He will pick one marble out of the jar without looking. Which word best describes Mel's chances of picking a dark marble?

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8.

  1. You roll a six-sided cube number cube and the number is less than 5 P(n<5) =

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12.

Think of a scenario with a certain event.

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13.

Think of a scenario with an unlikely event.

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14.

Think of a scenario with a likely event.