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3.15 Climate Action Lab MOD

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Learning Objectives

  • Compare multiple climate scenarios to evaluate the effectiveness of different policy approaches.

  • Create your own climate policy plan and explain the reasoning behind it.

Success Criteria

  • Complete 5 scenarios and identify which meet Paris Climate Agreement goals.

  • Design a climate policy based on your evaluation of the 5 scenarios.

Learning Objectives

  • Compare multiple climate scenarios to evaluate the effectiveness of different policy approaches.

  • Create your own climate policy plan and explain the reasoning behind it.

Success Criteria

  • Complete 5 scenarios and identify which meet Paris Climate Agreement goals.

  • Design a climate policy based on your evaluation of the 5 scenarios.

We will be using En-ROADS for this assignment. Click here to open the simulator in a new tab or use the embedded website below.

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
1.

Take a minute to look over the various areas of the En-Roads simulation.

Identify the area that displays a stacked area chart showing energy sources from 2000–2100 with a color-coded legend for coal, oil, gas, renewables, bioenergy, nuclear, and new zero.

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2.

Identify the control panel with sliders to adjust different aspects of energy supply, transport, buildings and industrict, growth, carbon dioxide removal, and other sources of greenhouse gases.

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3.

Identify the line graph comparing baseline greenhouse gas net emissions versus the current scenario.

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4.

Identify the area with the projected global temperature change by 2100 with the given conditions.

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5.

Identify the area where you could get a link to share for your current scenario.

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6.

The sliders in the control panel are set to "status quo" by default. Which of the following best defines "status quo?"

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7.

What is the predicted global temperature increase by 2100 with no climate action (keeping everything at the status quo)?

0
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8.

The Paris Climate Agreement is a landmark international treaty on climate change adopted by almost 200 countries in 2015.

These countries pledged to work together to limit global temperature change to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2100.

Predict: Which actions need to be taken to limit global temperature change to 1.5°C?

No right or wrong answer :)

Scenario 1 -- Renewable Energy Focus

In this scenario, let's see what happens when we increase renewable energy and decrease fossil fuels.

The sliders have been adjusted to the following:

Slider

Target

Energy Supply: Renewables

Highly Encouraged

Building and Industry: Energy Efficiency

Increased

Energy Supply: Coal

Highly Discouraged

Energy Supply: Oil

Highly Discouraged

Energy Supply: Natural Gas

Highly Discouraged

Energy Supply: Nuclear Energy

More Encouraged

Use this screenshot of the result:

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
9.

What is the predicted global temperature by 2100 in Scenario 1?

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10.

Will increasing renewable energy sources and decreasing fossil fuels be enough to reach the goal of 1.5°C by 2100?

Scenario 2 -- Make Pollution Expensive

In this scenario, let's add on to Scenario 1 and charge polluters for their greenhouse gas emissions through carbon taxs, cap-and-trade systems, and carbon credit markets.

The only slider changed is Carbon Pricing.

Slider

Target

Energy Supply: Renewables

Highly Encouraged

Building and Industry: Energy Efficiency

Increased

Energy Supply: Coal

Highly Discouraged

Energy Supply: Oil

Highly Discouraged

Energy Supply: Natural Gas

Highly Discouraged

Energy Supply: Nuclear Energy

More Encouraged

Energy Supply: Carbon Pricing

Very High

Use this screenshot of the result:

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
11.

What is the predicted global temperature by 2100 in Scenario 2?

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12.

Will adding Carbon Pricing be enough to reach the goal of 1.5°C by 2100?

Scenario 3 -- Protecting Forests & Changing Agriculture

In this scenario, we'll focus on improving land-use and reducing agricultural emissions.

The sliders are set to the following:

Slider

Target

Other Sources of Greenhouse Gases: Deforestation

Highly Reduced

Other Sources of Greenhouse Gases: Agricultural Emissions

Highly Reduced

Other Sources of Greenhouse Gases: Waste and Leakage

Highly Reduced

Carbon Dioxide Removal: Nature-Based

High Growth

Energy Supply: Bioenergy

Highly Reduced

Use the screenshot of the result:

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13.

What is the predicted global temperature by 2100 in Scenario 3?

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14.

Will improving land-use and reducing agricultural emissions be enough to reach the goal of 1.5°C by 2100?

Scenario 4 -- Perfect World

In this scenario, we'll pretend that every change below can be effectively implemented.

The sliders in bold have been added to the previous scenario:

Slider

Target

Other Sources of Greenhouse Gases: Deforestation

Highly Reduced

Other Sources of Greenhouse Gases: Agricultural Emissions

Highly Reduced

Other Sources of Greenhouse Gases: Waste and Leakage

Highly Reduced

Carbon Dioxide Removal: Nature-Based

High Growth

Energy Source: Bioenergy

Highly Reduced

Carbon Dioxide Removal: Technological

High Growth

Energy Supply: Renewables

Highly Encouraged

Transportation: Energy Efficiency

Highly Increased

Building and Industry: Energy Efficiency

Highly Increased

Energy Supply: Coal

Highly Discouraged

Energy Supply: Oil

Highly Discouraged

Energy Supply: Natural Gas

Highly Discouraged

Energy Supply: Nuclear Energy

More Encouraged

Energy Supply: Carbon Pricing

Very High

Use the screenshot of the result:

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15.

What is the predicted global temperature by 2100 in Scenario 4?

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16.

Will making radical changes in energy sources, efficiency, and land use be enough to reach the goal of 1.5°C by 2100?

Scenario 5 -- Reality Check

In this scenario, we'll look at a more realistic future.

The sliders were set to the following:

Slider

Target

Other Sources of Greenhouse Gases: Deforestation

Reduced

Other Sources of Greenhouse Gases: Agricultural Emissions

Reduced

Other Sources of Greenhouse Gases: Waste and Leakage

Reduced

Carbon Dioxide Removal: Nature-Based

Low Growth

Energy Source: Bioenergy

Discouraged

Carbon Dioxide Removal: Technological

Low Growth

Energy Supply: Renewables

More Encouraged

Transportation: Energy Efficiency

Increased

Building and Industry: Energy Efficiency

Increased

Energy Supply: Coal

Discouraged

Energy Supply: Oil

More Discouraged

Energy Supply: Natural Gas

Discouraged

Energy Supply: Nuclear Energy

More Encouraged

Energy Supply: Carbon Pricing

Medium

Use the screenshot of the result:

Asemmisa {{asɛmmisaAhyɛnsode}}
17.

What is the predicted global temperature by 2100 in Scenario 5?

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18.

Will making more realistic changes in energy sources, efficiency, and land use be enough to reach the goal of 1.5°C by 2100?

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19.

Scenario 6 -- Your Turn

Congratulations, you're now the Supreme Leader of Planet Earth and can dictate climate policy! Use En-Roads to create a custom plan for your minions to implement.

Use the "Share Your Scenario" button to Copy Scenario Link and paste here:

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20.

Describe your climate policy in 1-2 sentences. What were your top priorities?

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21.

Now that you've imagined absolute power, what's the ONE realistic action you could take today to move the world toward your vision

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22.

Reflect on your understanding of the learning objectives:

Compare multiple climate scenarios to evaluate the effectiveness of different policy approaches.

Create your own climate policy plan and explain the reasoning behind it.

Reflect on your mastery of the success criteria:

Complete 5 scenarios and identify which meet Paris Climate Agreement goals.

Design a climate policy based on your evaluation of the 5 scenarios.